@article { author = {Tajbakhsh, S.M. and Memarian, H. and Moradi, K. and Aghakhani Afshar, A.H.}, title = {Performance comparison of land change modeling techniques for land use projection of arid watersheds}, journal = {Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {263-280}, year = {2018}, publisher = {GJESM Publisher (Professor J. Nouri)}, issn = {2383-3572}, eissn = {2383-3866}, doi = {10.22034/GJESM.2018.03.002}, abstract = {The change of land use/land cover has been known as an imperative force in environmental alteration, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. This research was mainly aimed to assess the validity of two major types of land change modeling techniques via a three dimensional approach in Birjand urban watershed located in an arid climatic region of Iran. Thus, a Markovian approach based on two suitability and transition potential mappers, i.e. fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron was used to simulate land use map. Validation metrics, quantity disagreement, allocation disagreement and figure of merit in a three-dimensional space were used to perform model validation. Utilizing the fuzzy-analytic hierarchy processsimulation of total landscape in the target point 2015, quantity error, the figure of merit and allocation error were 2%, 18.5% and 8%, respectively. However, Artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron simulation led to a marginal improvement in figure of merit, i.e. 3.25%.}, keywords = {Artificial neural network-multi layer perceptron (ANN-MLP),CA-Markov,Fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process (Fuzzy-AHP),Land use change,Simulation}, url = {https://www.gjesm.net/article_31528.html}, eprint = {https://www.gjesm.net/article_31528_5b726f6ce9789ee06ae721ba73469d0b.pdf} }