Environmental Management
T.T. Tran; L.T. Pham; Q.X. Ngo
Abstract
Currently, the pandemic caused by a novel coronavirus, namely severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is one of the most serious issues worldwide. SARS-CoV-2 was first observed in Wuhan, China, on December 31, 2019; this disease has been rapidly spreading worldwide. Iran was the ...
Read More
Currently, the pandemic caused by a novel coronavirus, namely severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is one of the most serious issues worldwide. SARS-CoV-2 was first observed in Wuhan, China, on December 31, 2019; this disease has been rapidly spreading worldwide. Iran was the first Middle East country to report a coronavirus death, it has been severely affected. Therefore, it is crucial to forecast the pandemic spread in Iran. This study aims to develop a prediction model for the daily total confirmed cases, total confirmed new cases, total deaths, total new deaths, growth rate in confirmed cases, and growth rate in deaths. The model utilizes SARS-CoV-2 daily data, which are mainly collected from the official website of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control from February 20 to May 04, 2020 and other appropriated references. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) is employed to forecast the trend of the pandemic spread. The ARIMA model predicts that Iran can easily exhibit an increase in the daily total confirmed cases and the total deaths, while the daily total confirmed new cases, total new deaths, and growth rate in confirmed cases/deaths becomes stable in the near future. This study predicts that Iran can control the SARS-CoV-2 disease in the near future. The ARIMA model can rapidly aid in forecasting patients and rendering a better preparedness plan in Iran.
Environmental Management
D. Yadav; H. Maheshwari; U. Chandra
Abstract
Origin of the coronavirus was the seafood market of Wuhan city, Hubei province in China. The cases of someone suffering from COVID-19 can be traced back to the end of December 2019 in China. This is the most infectious disease and spread worldwide within three months after the first case reported. The ...
Read More
Origin of the coronavirus was the seafood market of Wuhan city, Hubei province in China. The cases of someone suffering from COVID-19 can be traced back to the end of December 2019 in China. This is the most infectious disease and spread worldwide within three months after the first case reported. The World Health Organization renames Coronavirus as COVID-19. COVID-19 is the β-Coronavirus family virus, effect on the lung of human and common symptoms are cough, fever, fatigue, respiratory problem, and cold. The full name of the coronavirus is severe acute respiratory syndrome SARS-CoV. It spread on humans as well as animals and infected more than 183 countries with 2959927 confirm cases and 202733 deaths till 28 April 2020. 84 days data is used to predict confirmed and death cases for the next 10 days by using prophet and daily average based algorithm. Predicted confirmed cases are 2886183 and death cases 190540 till 25 April 2020. This study introduces the spreading pattern of COVID-19 in the top ten infected countries. After China, European countries are the most infected ones. In this study, data was analyzed on the attributes confirmed, active, recovered and death cases, and next ten days outbreak prediction. Some countries state-wise data confirmed active and death cases also analyzed.
Environmental Management
N. Gupta; A. Tomar; V. Kumar
Abstract
COVID-19 is a huge tragedy for the world community. Everything in the world is affected due to this pandemic right from economy to resources where the economy of major countries of the world are facing recession and resources are surplus with no takers at all. The measures to contain COVID-19 pandemic ...
Read More
COVID-19 is a huge tragedy for the world community. Everything in the world is affected due to this pandemic right from economy to resources where the economy of major countries of the world are facing recession and resources are surplus with no takers at all. The measures to contain COVID-19 pandemic include lockdown, social distancing, isolation, and home quarantine. Lockdown adopted by the different governments which involve non-functioning of all the industry and manufacturing units. However, as a blessing in disguise, these measures have a positive effect on the environment in terms of reduction in toxic gasses like nitrogen dioxide, aerosols, atmosphere ozone, particulate matter, and improvement in air quality. In this paper, the effect on various environmental parameters like aerosol, ozone, particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and temperature on India by lockdown due to COVID-19 as a preventive measure has been analyzed. The work involves the refining and preprocessing of raw data of this year and last year of various harmful pollutants present in the environment along with satellite images from National Aeronautics and Space Administration for comparison of different parameters. It has been observed that with the above adopted measures temperature has been reduced to near about 15 degree Celsius, there is also reduction in humidity i.e. it is reduced to 40%, particulate matter (PM2.5) reaches near about normal i.e. 40 g/m3 and carbon monoxide levels has also been reduced to 10 ppm. The main idea is to emphasize the fact that how the environment is self-healing during the lockdown. And this study will be beneficial to environmentalists and industry professionals to make the future strategy for improving the environment.
